Two Major Signals Just Flashed
Investors,
I have two exciting studies to share with you, but I want to cover this first…
The S&P 500 just experienced six consecutive trading sessions where the index rose or fell by ±1%, briefly trading at the lowest levels since October 3rd, 2024.
Months of price action that produced several new all-time highs between October 2024 and February 2025 have been wiped out in the past twelve trading days.
Bulls are saying this is a generational buying opportunity.
Bears are saying this is a multi-year peak for the market.
Who’s right?
Neither!
The S&P 500 is barely down -6% from its all-time highs.
How is that a “generational” discount?
And to the bears calling for a multi-year top… there’s always a chance that this could happen; however, how has this prediction fared over the past 20+ years?
It literally took the Housing Crisis and the fastest tightening cycle in modern financial history to create “multi-year” tops, but the market was still able to produce new all-time highs just 3 and 2 years later, respectively.
And if I recall, those two corrections were a great time to buy assets!
Anyways, history shows us that it’s generally much more profitable to bet on things staying the same, rather than betting on a drastic shift in market conditions.
By the very nature of this long-term uptrend, bears don’t win often (or for very long).
I’m not dismissing the concerns that investors are feeling, as I’ve also been expressing my sincere caution in this environment, but I think we need to pump the brakes on the extremism, on both sides.
In this report, I’m going to provide two new and exclusive studies that I created, which will help to contextualize the current market environment and assess the probabilities of what’s going to happen next.
Specifically, I’ll be applying these studies to calculate and track the performance of the S&P 500 and Bitcoin after the respective signals flashed, in order to assess probabilities about the future.