Investors,
Love is in the air… and that typically has strong implications for the stock market.
Specifically, when the S&P 500 gains at least +3% YTD through Valentine’s Day, the market tends to generate strong results through the end of the year, reaffirming what trend-followers already know: strength often begets more strength.

With the index currently up +4% YTD through February 14th’s close, historical data suggest a high likelihood that great returns continue through the remainder of 2025.
Is it a guarantee that great returns will continue? Of course not.
Am I going to base my entire investment thesis on this data? Of course not.
But I do believe, wholeheartedly, that this is important data to be aware of in 2025.
In the remainder of this report, exclusive for premium members, I will:
Share an update on my 15 largest stock positions in my long-term account.
Share 4 ETFs that I think warrant your interest & attention as an investor.
Share updated thoughts on S&P 500 earnings and the latest earnings season.
Provide context around overall stock market dynamics, trends, and behavior.
Let’s begin.